Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 569 American Flight history →	DFW 12:43	AVL 16:12	24%	9%	1.2%	74%
AA 3267 American	DFW 19:46	AVL 23:19	24%	9%	1.3%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Asheville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	DFW 05:54 → LGA 10:19AA 2925	3h 06m New York	LGA 13:25 → AVL 15:37AA 4418 · flown by Republic	8h 43m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 09:58 → AVL 11:08DL 3059	4h 48m	99%	89%
American Details →	DFW 04:45 → ORD 07:07AA 1938	1h 10m Chicago	ORD 08:17 → AVL 11:16AA 3963 · flown by Envoy	5h 31m	97%	89%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:45 → ATL 09:59DL 893	3h 54m Atlanta	ATL 13:53 → AVL 15:02DL 3099	7h 17m	100%	88%
United Details →	DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773	2h 49m Denver	DEN 09:42 → AVL 14:42UA 1992	7h 57m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	DFW 13:50 → ATL 17:14DL 414	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 20:28 → AVL 21:38DL 3116	6h 48m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	DFW 10:06 → ATL 13:25DL 839	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 16:10 → AVL 17:20DL 3101	6h 14m	99%	81%
American Details →	DFW 05:02 → DCA 09:03AA 1618	1h 11m Washington	DCA 10:14 → AVL 11:58AA 5213 · flown by PSA	5h 56m	97%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON