Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Detroit, leaving 05:20, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Hartford on time.

Nonstops that day


AA 1083 American	DFW 07:26	BDL 12:16	9%	3%	0.7%	no record
AA 1367 American Flight history →	DFW 12:55	BDL 17:44	20%	5%	0.7%	68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 05:50 → ATL 09:03DL 401	1h 19m Atlanta	ATL 10:22 → BDL 12:45DL 1082	5h 55m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → DTW 09:04DL 2183	54m Detroit	DTW 09:58 → BDL 11:46DL 2163	5h 26m	95%	89%
American Details →	DFW 05:02 → CLT 08:37AA 1091	3h 20m Charlotte	CLT 11:57 → BDL 14:05AA 2741	8h 03m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:45 → ATL 09:59DL 893	3h 57m Atlanta	ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739	8h 31m	100%	89%
United Details →	DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773	3h 17m Denver	DEN 10:10 → BDL 16:08UA 2643	9h 23m	100%	89%
American Details →	DFW 04:45 → ORD 07:07AA 1938	1h 42m Chicago	ORD 08:49 → BDL 12:23AA 1408	6h 38m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	DFW 10:06 → ATL 13:25DL 839	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 15:34 → BDL 17:59DL 2735	6h 53m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:17 → ATL 15:35DL 961	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 18:56 → BDL 21:19DL 2504	8h 02m	100%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON