tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: AA 2019 at 10:43 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 22%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2019 American DFW 10:43 BOI 13:15 10% 4% 0.6% no record
AA 1104 American Flight history → DFW 21:05 BOI 23:21 22% 5% 0.7% 45%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boise on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401 1h 57m Atlanta ATL 10:31 → BOI 12:53DL 874 8h 33m 100% 94%
AmericanDetails → DFW 05:47 → ORD 08:15AA 2999 3h 16m Chicago ORD 11:31 → BOI 14:23AA 2353 9h 36m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276 2h 16m Minneapolis MSP 11:39 → BOI 13:44DL 2982 7h 49m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → DFW 06:30 → SEA 08:46DL 804 3h 44m Seattle SEA 12:30 → BOI 15:11DL 3959 · flown by SkyWest 9h 41m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291 1h 29m Salt Lake City SLC 11:00 → BOI 12:16DL 2095 5h 31m 97% 89%
UnitedDetails → DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773 48m Denver DEN 07:41 → BOI 09:42UA 255 4h 57m 94% 89%
AmericanDetails → DFW 07:08 → PHX 07:34AA 474 2h 44m Phoenix PHX 10:18 → BOI 13:42AA 4080 · flown by Envoy 7h 34m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → DFW 16:00 → LAX 17:23DL 521 2h 36m Los Angeles LAX 19:59 → BOI 22:58DL 4148 · flown by SkyWest 7h 58m 98% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON