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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 12:30, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching Spokane on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1381 American Flight history → DFW 10:04 GEG 11:52 16% 5% 0.6% 75%
AA 2757 American DFW 18:30 GEG 20:19 22% 6% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401 1h 20m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → GEG 11:33DL 814 8h 13m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276 2h 56m Minneapolis MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437 8h 26m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291 1h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 27m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → DFW 07:08 → PHX 07:34AA 474 2h 30m Phoenix PHX 10:04 → GEG 13:06AA 540 7h 58m 97% 84%
AlaskaDetails → DFW 17:45 → PDX 19:49AS 646 2h 14m Portland PDX 22:03 → GEG 23:15AS 1345 7h 30m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798 1h 05m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 5h 38m 94% 82%
AmericanDetails → DFW 13:27 → PHX 14:11AA 1548 2h 46m Phoenix PHX 16:57 → GEG 19:54AA 2876 8h 27m 100% 81%
AmericanDetails → DFW 05:47 → ORD 08:15AA 2999 2h 55m Chicago ORD 11:10 → GEG 13:07AA 677 9h 20m 100% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON