tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: AA 1923 at 08:12 is the safest bet, 13% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 23%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1923 American Flight history → DFW 08:12 JAC 10:01 13% 5% 0.8% 73%
AA 1883 American Flight history → DFW 13:12 JAC 14:59 23% 9% 0.8% 66%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773 1h 17m Denver DEN 08:10 → JAC 10:05UA 5730 · flown by SkyWest 5h 20m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291 1h 39m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282 5h 30m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → DFW 14:31 → SLC 16:18DL 2800 2h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 18:30 → JAC 19:37DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest 6h 06m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798 1h 25m Salt Lake City SLC 15:45 → JAC 16:52DL 509 5h 22m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → DFW 05:47 → ORD 08:15AA 2999 1h 34m Chicago ORD 09:49 → JAC 12:23AA 1898 7h 36m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → DFW 12:17 → ATL 15:35DL 961 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315 8h 47m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → DFW 08:24 → ORD 10:58AA 328 2h 30m Chicago ORD 13:28 → JAC 16:01AA 2611 8h 37m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → DFW 11:35 → DEN 12:45UA 2049 1h 10m Denver DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537 4h 50m 92% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON