Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, MQ 3672 at 09:40, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


MQ 3672 Envoy	DFW 09:40	MSO 12:32	5%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Missoula on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798	1h 45m Salt Lake City	SLC 16:05 → MSO 17:45DL 3808 · flown by SkyWest	6h 15m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291	1h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:03 → MSO 12:40DL 1723	5h 55m	97%	89%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276	3h 22m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → MSO 14:38DL 362	8h 43m	99%	88%
Alaska Details →	DFW 09:00 → SEA 11:20AS 365	1h 28m Seattle	SEA 12:48 → MSO 15:17AS 660	7h 17m	95%	71%
United Details →	DFW 16:50 → DEN 18:20UA 1303	1h 10m Denver	DEN 19:30 → MSO 21:39UA 1092	5h 49m	87%	70%
United Details →	DFW 07:29 → SFO 09:29UA 790	2h 46m San Francisco	SFO 12:15 → MSO 15:38UA 5422 · flown by SkyWest	9h 09m	99%	65%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON