Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, OH 5653 at 12:37, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OH 5653 PSA	DFW 12:37	MYR 16:29	11%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	6h 40m	100%	92%
American Details →	DFW 05:02 → CLT 08:37AA 1091	1h 29m Charlotte	CLT 10:06 → MYR 11:14AA 2431	5h 12m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:17 → ATL 15:35DL 961	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093	5h 50m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DFW 18:11 → ATL 21:24DL 921	1h 16m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074	4h 44m	93%	84%
American Details →	DFW 08:49 → CLT 12:29AA 317	3h 31m Charlotte	CLT 16:00 → MYR 17:11AA 2943	7h 22m	100%	83%
American Details →	DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696	2h 18m Charlotte	CLT 17:54 → MYR 19:01AA 1417	6h 06m	98%	79%
American Details →	DFW 09:38 → PHL 14:00AA 402	2h 19m Philadelphia	PHL 16:19 → MYR 18:20AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont	7h 49m	96%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON