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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2548 American Flight history → DFW 10:47 PSP 12:02 12% 5% 0.8% 68%
AA 2709 American Flight history → DFW 19:35 PSP 20:36 19% 5% 0.8% 61%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291 1h 14m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest 5h 56m 96% 92%
DeltaDetails → DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798 1h 20m Salt Lake City SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 6h 03m 97% 92%
AmericanDetails → DFW 13:27 → PHX 14:11AA 1548 3h 03m Phoenix PHX 17:14 → PSP 18:25AA 4922 · flown by SkyWest 6h 58m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → DFW 07:08 → PHX 07:34AA 474 2h 58m Phoenix PHX 10:32 → PSP 11:50AA 1884 6h 42m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → DFW 07:29 → SFO 09:29UA 790 3h 13m San Francisco SFO 12:42 → PSP 14:14UA 342 8h 45m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → DFW 15:23 → SFO 17:14UA 2413 1h 24m San Francisco SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest 7h 03m 90% 76%
UnitedDetails → DFW 16:50 → DEN 18:20UA 1303 56m Denver DEN 19:16 → PSP 20:34UA 2644 5h 44m 85% 68%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON