Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


9E 4964 Endeavor	DTW 09:53	CHS 12:02	6%	2%	0.7%	no record
DL 5433 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history →	DTW 20:02	CHS 22:09	9%	3%	0.8%	62%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	3h 36m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	6h 43m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	DTW 10:25 → ATL 12:19DL 2856	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381	5h 28m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	DTW 07:05 → BOS 09:02DL 1163	3h 04m Boston	BOS 12:06 → CHS 14:40DL 2785	7h 35m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179	6h 22m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	2h 48m Minneapolis	MSP 12:42 → CHS 16:29DL 2463	7h 29m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	DTW 10:14 → JFK 11:58DL 2751	1h 26m New York	JFK 13:24 → CHS 15:28DL 5200 · flown by Endeavor	5h 14m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	DTW 14:59 → ATL 17:03DL 1983	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 19:33 → CHS 20:49DL 2493	5h 50m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	DTW 18:09 → ATL 20:19DL 2053	2h 51m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850	6h 17m	99%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON