Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2333 Delta Flight history →	DTW 08:29	JAX 10:49	6%	2%	0.8%	89%
DL 2994 Delta Flight history →	DTW 15:02	JAX 17:27	12%	5%	0.8%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jacksonville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	3h 03m Minneapolis	MSP 12:57 → JAX 16:54DL 2392	7h 54m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	1h 15m Atlanta	ATL 08:25 → JAX 09:36DL 2326	4h 19m	97%	91%
Delta Details →	DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611	2h 37m Atlanta	ATL 10:48 → JAX 12:00DL 2923	5h 43m	99%	90%
American Details →	DTW 06:00 → CLT 07:51AA 387	2h 56m Charlotte	CLT 10:47 → JAX 12:17AA 1925	6h 17m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → JAX 13:45DL 3024	6h 25m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 14:59 → ATL 17:03DL 1983	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 20:23 → JAX 21:39DL 2189	6h 40m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 16:50 → ATL 18:55DL 1467	3h 59m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → JAX 00:09 +1DL 2276	7h 19m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	DTW 08:25 → ATL 10:20DL 1653	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 13:57 → JAX 15:09DL 2990	6h 44m	100%	86%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DTW 16:18 → JFK 18:29DL 2934	46m New York	JFK 19:15 → JAX 22:17DL 5123 · flown by Endeavor	5h 59m	73%	51%
Delta Details →	DTW 10:05 → LGA 11:50DL 2589	49m New York	LGA 12:39 → JAX 15:19DL 5461 · flown by Endeavor	5h 14m	73%	45%
American Details →	DTW 13:05 → ORD 13:41AA 3977 · flown by Envoy	49m Chicago	ORD 14:30 → JAX 18:07AA 3486 · flown by Envoy	5h 02m	55%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON