tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OH 5159 PSA ECP 08:23 CLT 11:03 7% 3% 1.0% no record
OH 5126 PSA ECP 13:24 CLT 16:04 11% 3% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Panama City Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ECP 06:00 → ATL 08:13DL 3114 1h 57m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190 4h 26m 97% 92%
DeltaDetails → ECP 07:50 → ATL 10:00DL 1674 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157 4h 41m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → ECP 17:03 → ATL 19:21DL 3094 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177 5h 55m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → ECP 09:12 → ATL 11:20DL 3048 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 15:00 → CLT 16:17DL 3031 6h 05m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → ECP 14:47 → ATL 17:00DL 2823 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → CLT 20:11DL 2132 4h 24m 97% 87%
AmericanDetails → ECP 07:27 → DFW 09:37AA 4120 · flown by Envoy 2h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696 7h 09m 96% 84%
AmericanDetails → ECP 12:05 → DFW 14:15AA 3625 · flown by Envoy 1h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:03 → CLT 19:47AA 2013 6h 42m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → ECP 09:00 → IAH 10:57UA 4034 · flown by Mesa 1h 16m Houston IAH 12:13 → CLT 15:43UA 765 5h 43m 91% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON