tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:50, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Panama City Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ECP 07:50 → ATL 10:00DL 1674 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957 7h 10m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → ECP 06:00 → ATL 08:13DL 3114 1h 41m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 6h 05m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → ECP 09:12 → ATL 11:20DL 3048 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530 6h 46m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → ECP 14:47 → ATL 17:00DL 2823 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746 6h 56m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → ECP 11:38 → ATL 13:51DL 3045 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519 7h 18m 99% 85%
SouthwestDetails → ECP 09:06 → DAL 11:06WN 312 2h 52m Dallas DAL 13:58 → DEN 14:57WN 1148 6h 51m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → ECP 14:43 → IAH 16:42UA 4352 · flown by CommuteAir 3h 45m Houston IAH 20:27 → DEN 21:46UA 685 8h 03m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → ECP 11:39 → IAH 13:37UA 4851 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 57m Houston IAH 16:34 → DEN 18:27UA 470 7h 48m 97% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON