tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 2191 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record ELP 19:16 SEA 21:59 46% 22% 13.5% 54%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Seattle on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind El Paso). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ELP 06:00 → ATL 11:10DL 1741 1h 23m Atlanta ATL 12:33 → SEA 14:50DL 629 9h 50m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → ELP 14:25 → ATL 19:42DL 1002 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 21:35 → SEA 23:59DL 903 10h 34m 97% 86%
AmericanDetails → ELP 12:12 → PHX 12:45AA 4889 · flown by SkyWest 1h 32m Phoenix PHX 14:17 → SEA 17:27AA 3934 · flown by Envoy 6h 15m 95% 85%
UnitedDetails → ELP 05:45 → IAH 08:46UA 6303 · flown by Mesa 3h 23m Houston IAH 12:09 → SEA 15:00UA 2228 10h 15m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → ELP 07:00 → DEN 08:53UA 724 2h 34m Denver DEN 11:27 → SEA 13:27UA 2058 7h 27m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → ELP 07:05 → DFW 10:00AA 2029 2h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:17 → SEA 14:31AA 757 8h 26m 95% 75%
UnitedDetails → ELP 14:32 → DEN 16:38UA 1728 2h 29m Denver DEN 19:07 → SEA 20:52UA 2767 7h 20m 98% 74%
AmericanDetails → ELP 09:59 → DFW 12:54AA 1365 1h 39m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:33 → SEA 16:47AA 727 7h 48m 95% 72%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ELP 16:00 → IAH 19:10UA 4339 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 02m Houston IAH 20:12 → SEA 23:02UA 2341 8h 02m 67% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON