Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 4191 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record	EWR 08:30	CAE 10:39	15%	5%	0.0%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353	1h 50m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → CAE 11:14DL 5091 · flown by Endeavor	5h 16m	97%	89%
American Details →	EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:01AA 2505	3h 10m Charlotte	CLT 11:11 → CAE 12:20AA 5994 · flown by Piedmont	6h 20m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 12:00 → CAE 12:59DL 2944	5h 54m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 14:05 → CAE 15:06DL 3193	6h 36m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401	3h 06m Atlanta	ATL 19:06 → CAE 20:12DL 2193	6h 43m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	EWR 10:31 → ATL 12:53DL 2325	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 16:14 → CAE 17:23DL 3032	6h 52m	99%	83%
American Details →	EWR 05:51 → DFW 08:40AA 2728	1h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:49 → CAE 13:25AA 5437 · flown by PSA	7h 34m	96%	80%
American Details →	EWR 07:30 → CLT 09:35AA 1575	3h 27m Charlotte	CLT 13:02 → CAE 14:07AA 6047 · flown by Piedmont	6h 37m	99%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	EWR 14:45 → ORD 16:28UA 2788	1h 18m Chicago	ORD 17:46 → CAE 20:49UA 5594 · flown by SkyWest	6h 04m	73%	47%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON