tailodds FORECAST
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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: United via Denver, leaving 07:52, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Jackson on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 2 h behind Newark). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → EWR 07:52 → DEN 10:12UA 1758 3h 43m Denver DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537 9h 33m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:01AA 2505 59m Charlotte CLT 09:00 → JAC 11:22AA 1175 7h 22m 96% 86%
UnitedDetails → EWR 06:00 → ORD 07:42UA 530 1h 41m Chicago ORD 09:23 → JAC 11:32UA 2176 7h 32m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → EWR 06:32 → ORD 07:58AA 3027 1h 51m Chicago ORD 09:49 → JAC 12:22AA 1898 7h 50m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → EWR 07:15 → SLC 10:13DL 1009 57m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282 7h 00m 93% 85%
DeltaDetails → EWR 12:00 → ATL 14:30DL 2397 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315 10h 04m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → EWR 14:40 → DEN 16:58UA 2120 2h 05m Denver DEN 19:03 → JAC 20:35UA 785 7h 55m 96% 77%
AmericanDetails → EWR 08:00 → DFW 10:51AA 1303 2h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:12 → JAC 14:59AA 1883 8h 59m 97% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON