tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 3487 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → FAT 07:30 PDX 09:27 7% 3% 0.6% 92%
OO 3202 SkyWest FAT 17:24 PDX 19:32 10% 6% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FAT 06:00 → SLC 08:41DL 4138 · flown by SkyWest 2h 34m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 6h 10m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → FAT 09:48 → SLC 12:29DL 3786 · flown by SkyWest 2h 48m Salt Lake City SLC 15:17 → PDX 16:09DL 1244 6h 21m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → FAT 06:15 → PHX 08:01AA 6275 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Phoenix PHX 10:47 → PDX 13:49AA 2684 7h 34m 96% 84%
UnitedDetails → FAT 06:30 → SFO 07:34UA 5338 · flown by SkyWest 2h 50m San Francisco SFO 10:24 → PDX 12:15UA 2624 5h 45m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → FAT 09:00 → DEN 12:34UA 5787 · flown by SkyWest 53m Denver DEN 13:27 → PDX 15:13UA 2455 6h 13m 91% 83%
AlaskaDetails → FAT 06:00 → SAN 07:24AS 3402 · flown by SkyWest 3h 40m San Diego SAN 11:04 → PDX 13:43AS 576 7h 43m 99% 80%
AlaskaDetails → FAT 06:54 → SEA 09:18AS 3345 · flown by SkyWest 3h 18m Seattle SEA 12:36 → PDX 13:32AS 488 6h 38m 99% 78%
AlaskaDetails → FAT 11:23 → SAN 12:50AS 3491 · flown by SkyWest 3h 27m San Diego SAN 16:17 → PDX 18:37AS 486 7h 14m 99% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON