tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 2371 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 09:45 AUS 11:48 12% 4% 1.0% 78%
B6 2271 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 20:59 AUS 23:08 22% 8% 1.0% 48%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 59m Atlanta ATL 08:10 → AUS 09:27DL 2976 5h 04m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → AUS 12:25DL 2011 6h 52m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 14:15 → AUS 15:50DL 1397 6h 54m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 12:33 → AUS 13:54DL 2104 7h 14m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314 3h 20m Houston IAH 12:05 → AUS 13:12UA 1859 7h 12m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → AUS 20:22DL 1170 7h 54m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722 3h 38m Houston IAH 14:23 → AUS 15:30UA 2483 7h 30m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → FLL 17:00 → IAH 18:56UA 1696 3h 19m Houston IAH 22:15 → AUS 23:12UA 1179 7h 12m 97% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → FLL 16:20 → ORD 19:00UA 403 58m Chicago ORD 19:58 → AUS 22:54UA 312 7h 34m 74% 58%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON