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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 09:56, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Charleston on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 66% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381 5h 57m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107 5h 27m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 49m Atlanta ATL 09:00 → CHS 10:13DL 3091 4h 50m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179 6h 02m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 15:59 → CHS 17:16DL 2174 6h 12m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 17:44 → CHS 18:59DL 3179 6h 51m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 19:33 → CHS 20:49DL 2493 6h 19m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:00 → LGA 09:57DL 2133 2h 32m New York LGA 12:29 → CHS 14:47DL 1404 7h 47m 99% 86%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413 46m Atlanta ATL 19:33 → CHS 20:49DL 2493 4h 03m 66% 59%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON