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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:33, is the safest bet: 94% chance of reaching Columbus on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 69% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750 7h 05m 99% 94%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 3h 24m Detroit DTW 12:20 → CMH 13:27DL 5774 · flown by Republic 7h 27m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CMH 11:48DL 1522 6h 25m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 14:21 → CMH 16:03DL 2892 6h 07m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → CMH 00:24 +1DL 1459 7h 38m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → FLL 13:26 → ORD 15:53AA 1443 3h 43m Chicago ORD 19:36 → CMH 22:10AA 3447 · flown by Envoy 8h 44m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:00 → LGA 09:57DL 2133 1h 43m New York LGA 11:40 → CMH 13:35DL 5669 · flown by Republic 6h 35m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786 6h 55m 99% 91%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → FLL 15:30 → DFW 17:41AA 1390 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:36 → CMH 22:13AA 641 6h 43m 69% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON