Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 25%, against 9% on a calm day. Safest: DL 2776 at 15:55, 25%.

Nonstops that day


DL 2776 Delta Flight history →	FLL 15:55	CVG 18:29	25%	9%	1.6%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160	6h 02m	99%	93%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → CVG 12:28DL 3149	5h 55m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008	6h 45m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 20:15 → CVG 21:45DL 2248	7h 15m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	3h 59m Atlanta	ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119	7h 17m	99%	88%
American Details →	FLL 06:04 → CLT 08:04AA 1474	2h 49m Charlotte	CLT 10:53 → CVG 12:20AA 1533	6h 16m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395	6h 11m	96%	88%
United Details →	FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722	1h 45m Houston	IAH 12:30 → CVG 15:58UA 2850	6h 58m	98%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON