Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 1603 at 08:19, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1603 Southwest	FLL 08:19	DAL 10:13	6%	2%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 04m Atlanta	ATL 08:15 → DAL 09:21DL 441	4h 58m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	3h 33m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104	7h 53m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	6h 07m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	7h 50m	99%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON