tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: WN 1787 at 07:26 is the safest bet, 6% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 23%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1787 Southwest FLL 07:26 HOU 08:59 6% 2% 1.5% no record
WN 1788 Southwest FLL 18:19 HOU 19:54 23% 6% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 30m Atlanta ATL 08:41 → HOU 09:45DL 1509 5h 22m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → HOU 12:10DL 1195 6h 37m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381 7h 26m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 20:45 → HOU 21:51DL 2051 7h 19m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → FLL 15:30 → DFW 17:41AA 1390 59m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:40 → HOU 20:08AA 3391 · flown by Envoy 5h 38m 83% 70%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON