Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: B6 814 at 06:55 is the safest bet, 6% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 20%.

Nonstops that day


B6 814 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 06:55	HPN 09:57	6%	3%	0.7%	80%
B6 914 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 19:02	HPN 22:10	20%	8%	1.6%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 31m Detroit	DTW 10:27 → HPN 12:20DL 4645 · flown by Endeavor	6h 20m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:47 → MSP 09:29DL 2212	3h 43m Minneapolis	MSP 13:12 → HPN 17:01DL 4680 · flown by Endeavor	10h 14m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 28m Atlanta	ATL 09:39 → HPN 12:11DL 2973	6h 48m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 12:11 → HPN 14:42DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	8h 09m	99%	91%
American Details →	FLL 06:05 → CLT 08:06AA 1474	3h 00m Charlotte	CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA	7h 08m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	7h 55m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 59m Atlanta	ATL 15:47 → HPN 18:17DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	8h 21m	99%	87%
American Details →	FLL 09:05 → CLT 11:11AA 2087	3h 38m Charlotte	CLT 14:49 → HPN 16:56AA 5606 · flown by PSA	7h 51m	98%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON