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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:33, is the safest bet: 93% chance of reaching Indianapolis on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 72% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → IND 12:36DL 3013 6h 03m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → IND 10:33DL 2952 5h 10m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:00 → LGA 09:57DL 2133 1h 48m New York LGA 11:45 → IND 14:06DL 5642 · flown by Republic 7h 06m 98% 92%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 00m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → IND 15:19DL 3134 5h 23m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 3h 07m Atlanta ATL 16:01 → IND 17:42DL 2979 6h 38m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → FLL 12:33 → PHL 15:28AA 1333 2h 51m Philadelphia PHL 18:19 → IND 20:45AA 4637 · flown by Republic 8h 12m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314 3h 10m Houston IAH 11:55 → IND 15:25UA 1687 8h 25m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 20:51 → IND 22:27DL 1482 6h 55m 98% 89%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → FLL 15:53 → EWR 19:00UA 1800 55m Newark EWR 19:55 → IND 21:50UA 3447 · flown by Republic 5h 57m 72% 57%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:40 → DTW 19:46DL 1294 49m Detroit DTW 20:35 → IND 21:55DL 4898 · flown by Endeavor 5h 15m 75% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON