Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 3 nonstops

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 3 nonstops are 9–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Safest bet that day B6 607 FLL 01:47 → LAS 03:59 · 9% chance 15+ min late · usually 70% on time Riskiest B6 507 FLL 15:03 → LAS 17:27 · 13% chance 15+ min late · usually 90% on time

Every nonstop on Wed, Oct 7

12-month record →

Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.


B6 607 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 01:47	LAS 03:59	9%	3%	2.1%	70%
B6 707 JetBlue	FLL 07:35	LAS 10:01	11%	4%	2.1%	no record
B6 507 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 15:03	LAS 17:27	13%	6%	0.8%	90%

Alternatives with one stop that day

All connections →


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 08:25 → LAS 09:31DL 777	7h 08m	97%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	1h 28m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → LAS 11:00DL 945	7h 27m	97%	88%
United Details →	FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722	1h 10m Houston	IAH 11:55 → LAS 13:13UA 1524	7h 13m	95%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON