Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Hebron, leaving 15:55, is the safest bet: 78% chance of reaching Minneapolis on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 73% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 673 Delta Flight history →	FLL 14:47	MSP 17:39	10%	4%	0.7%	72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 33m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	5h 55m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	2h 33m Detroit	DTW 11:29 → MSP 12:18DL 1746	7h 18m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	8h 17m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825	7h 11m	99%	88%
United Details →	FLL 08:00 → DEN 10:18UA 1311	3h 24m Denver	DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732	9h 46m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 18:37 → MSP 20:23DL 2654	7h 55m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	7h 11m	97%	85%
United Details →	FLL 10:04 → DEN 12:17UA 204	3h 25m Denver	DEN 15:42 → MSP 18:46UA 2470	9h 42m	99%	84%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	FLL 16:20 → ORD 19:00UA 403	57m Chicago	ORD 19:57 → MSP 21:41UA 2005	6h 21m	73%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON