Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 1823 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 14:38	MSY 15:43	18%	11%	0.9%	55%
B6 2823 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 21:16	MSY 22:24	20%	13%	1.1%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 08:58 → MSY 09:29DL 1424	5h 06m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → MSY 11:37DL 2542	6h 04m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → MSY 15:57DL 3146	7h 01m	99%	89%
United Details →	FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314	3h 10m Houston	IAH 11:55 → MSY 13:14UA 2385	7h 14m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	3h 57m Atlanta	ATL 17:57 → MSY 18:34DL 678	7h 26m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → MSY 23:43DL 2224	6h 15m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 19:54 → MSY 20:28DL 1450	6h 58m	98%	86%
United Details →	FLL 10:04 → DEN 12:17UA 204	1h 10m Denver	DEN 13:27 → MSY 17:15UA 250	8h 11m	94%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON