tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:33, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Seattle on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 356 Delta Flight history → FLL 08:20 SEA 11:49 8% 2% 1.0% 81%
AS 517 Alaska Flight history → FLL 18:30 SEA 21:59 17% 5% 0.9% 66%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Seattle on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 09:50 → SEA 12:13DL 774 9h 50m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 12:33 → SEA 14:50DL 629 10h 10m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 14:38 → SEA 16:49DL 481 9h 53m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314 3h 24m Houston IAH 12:09 → SEA 15:00UA 2228 11h 00m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 21:35 → SEA 23:59DL 903 11h 27m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 3h 33m Detroit DTW 12:29 → SEA 14:29DL 728 11h 29m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 16:45 → SEA 19:05DL 472 11h 01m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:06 → JFK 10:00DL 2165 1h 30m New York JFK 11:30 → SEA 14:50DL 1719 10h 44m 98% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON