tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: United via Denver, leaving 08:00, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Santa Ana on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Santa Ana on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → FLL 08:00 → DEN 10:18UA 1311 3h 07m Denver DEN 13:25 → SNA 14:57UA 1707 9h 57m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314 3h 44m Houston IAH 12:29 → SNA 14:12UA 1533 10h 12m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 20:59 → SNA 22:25DL 826 9h 53m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → FLL 10:04 → DEN 12:17UA 204 3h 50m Denver DEN 16:07 → SNA 17:40UA 1497 10h 36m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → SNA 12:31DL 329 10h 08m 98% 80%
AmericanDetails → FLL 07:27 → DFW 09:43AA 1712 3h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:38 → SNA 14:50AA 2465 10h 23m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → FLL 15:30 → DEN 18:18UA 1417 2h 14m Denver DEN 20:32 → SNA 22:01UA 725 9h 31m 95% 80%
DeltaDetails → FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 17:30 → SNA 19:00DL 2012 9h 52m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON