Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: United via Denver, leaving 13:41, is the safest bet: 72% chance of reaching Atlanta on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 814 Delta	GEG 12:38	ATL 20:10	9%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Spokane). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	GEG 17:10 → SLC 19:55DL 1503	3h 40m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:35 → ATL 05:14 +1DL 912	9h 04m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440	1h 53m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	7h 19m	98%	90%
United Details →	GEG 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 1234	1h 48m Denver	DEN 10:08 → ATL 15:15UA 2806	7h 15m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	GEG 07:00 → MSP 11:52DL 1615	2h 39m Minneapolis	MSP 14:31 → ATL 17:55DL 1048	7h 55m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	GEG 19:59 → SEA 21:22DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest	1h 52m Seattle	SEA 23:14 → ATL 07:12 +1DL 567	8h 13m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	GEG 13:30 → SLC 16:14DL 1452	1h 41m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905	7h 28m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	GEG 16:13 → LAX 18:51DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	2h 33m Los Angeles	LAX 21:24 → ATL 05:00 +1DL 783	9h 47m	98%	86%
Alaska Details →	GEG 05:00 → PDX 06:10AS 710	1h 20m Portland	PDX 07:30 → ATL 15:15AS 784	7h 15m	97%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON