tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, OO 3037 at 06:00, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
OO 3037 SkyWest GEG 06:00 SAN 08:44 12% 4% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → GEG 16:12 → LAX 18:51DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest 3h 54m Los Angeles LAX 22:45 → SAN 23:42DL 3746 · flown by SkyWest 7h 30m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → GEG 17:10 → SLC 19:55DL 1503 3h 00m Salt Lake City SLC 22:55 → SAN 23:50DL 1202 6h 40m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440 3h 08m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 6h 48m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → GEG 11:30 → SEA 12:54DL 3824 · flown by SkyWest 2h 21m Seattle SEA 15:15 → SAN 18:05DL 2613 6h 35m 96% 84%
UnitedDetails → GEG 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 1234 2h 55m Denver DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940 7h 41m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → GEG 07:00 → SEA 08:22DL 3790 · flown by SkyWest 3h 52m Seattle SEA 12:14 → SAN 15:16DL 2572 8h 16m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → GEG 16:01 → SEA 17:28DL 4145 · flown by SkyWest 2h 12m Seattle SEA 19:40 → SAN 22:34DL 2672 6h 33m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → GEG 06:20 → PHX 09:05AA 2697 1h 29m Phoenix PHX 10:34 → SAN 12:01AA 2122 5h 41m 97% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON