tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 2019 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record GEG 15:35 SNA 18:19 54% 15% 0.0% 46%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Santa Ana on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → GEG 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 1234 3h 00m Denver DEN 11:20 → SNA 12:51UA 1320 7h 51m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440 2h 53m Salt Lake City SLC 10:55 → SNA 11:50DL 1835 6h 30m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → GEG 17:10 → SLC 19:55DL 1503 1h 10m Salt Lake City SLC 21:05 → SNA 22:00DL 1304 4h 50m 94% 85%
AmericanDetails → GEG 06:20 → PHX 09:05AA 2697 2h 02m Phoenix PHX 11:07 → SNA 12:44AA 1656 6h 24m 98% 85%
AlaskaDetails → GEG 12:42 → PDX 13:52AS 251 3h 48m Portland PDX 17:40 → SNA 19:55AS 1425 7h 13m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → GEG 13:41 → DEN 16:57UA 1255 3h 35m Denver DEN 20:32 → SNA 22:01UA 725 8h 20m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → GEG 16:01 → SEA 17:28DL 4145 · flown by SkyWest 2h 07m Seattle SEA 19:35 → SNA 22:21DL 3695 · flown by SkyWest 6h 20m 98% 83%
AlaskaDetails → GEG 05:00 → PDX 06:10AS 710 50m Portland PDX 07:00 → SNA 09:37AS 1404 4h 37m 90% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → GEG 09:06 → SEA 10:18AS 2069 · flown by Horizon 48m Seattle SEA 11:06 → SNA 13:55AS 1357 4h 49m 55% 42%
AlaskaDetails → GEG 13:35 → SEA 14:42AS 455 49m Seattle SEA 15:31 → SNA 18:07AS 1475 4h 32m 43% 32%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON