tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2492 American GRR 07:08 CLT 09:00 6% 3% 0.6% no record
AA 1384 American GRR 14:28 CLT 16:22 9% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → GRR 06:10 → ATL 08:14DL 2453 1h 56m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190 5h 16m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → GRR 07:00 → MSP 07:32DL 2913 2h 58m Minneapolis MSP 10:30 → CLT 13:57DL 2819 6h 57m 99% 93%
UnitedDetails → GRR 06:05 → EWR 08:00UA 3718 · flown by Republic 2h 03m Newark EWR 10:03 → CLT 12:07UA 3504 · flown by Republic 6h 02m 99% 93%
UnitedDetails → GRR 07:07 → ORD 07:24UA 2099 3h 02m Chicago ORD 10:26 → CLT 13:50UA 3450 · flown by Republic 6h 43m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → GRR 07:53 → ATL 09:56DL 2161 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157 5h 38m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → GRR 18:19 → ATL 20:34DL 2058 2h 07m Atlanta ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177 5h 39m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → GRR 12:51 → ATL 14:52DL 2547 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → CLT 19:21DL 3158 6h 30m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → GRR 10:34 → DTW 11:33DL 3500 · flown by SkyWest 2h 32m Detroit DTW 14:05 → CLT 15:55DL 1429 5h 21m 97% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON