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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2846 American Flight history → GSO 07:02 DFW 08:52 6% 4% 0.7% 84%
AA 3886 American flown by Envoy Flight history → GSO 14:49 DFW 16:43 10% 3% 0.6% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Greensboro). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → GSO 05:25 → ATL 06:38DL 3018 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961 6h 47m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → GSO 05:59 → LGA 07:36DL 5292 · flown by Endeavor 1h 54m New York LGA 09:30 → DFW 12:09DL 856 7h 10m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → GSO 06:35 → ATL 07:56DL 3004 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 11:28 → DFW 12:44DL 414 7h 09m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → GSO 07:24 → CLT 08:25AA 3965 · flown by Envoy 2h 37m Charlotte CLT 11:02 → DFW 12:46AA 2747 6h 22m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → GSO 07:18 → ORD 08:20AA 3673 · flown by Envoy 3h 55m Chicago ORD 12:15 → DFW 14:45AA 3085 8h 27m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → GSO 06:09 → CLT 07:05AA 1078 2h 09m Charlotte CLT 09:14 → DFW 11:02AA 575 5h 53m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → GSO 10:14 → ATL 11:31DL 3173 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 14:30 → DFW 15:45DL 921 6h 31m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → GSO 09:28 → LGA 11:15AA 4419 · flown by Republic 2h 45m New York LGA 14:00 → DFW 17:05AA 1056 8h 37m 99% 88%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → GSO 07:24 → CLT 08:25AA 3965 · flown by Envoy 49m Charlotte CLT 09:14 → DFW 11:02AA 575 4h 38m 71% 65%
AmericanDetails → GSO 19:13 → ORD 20:33AA 4118 · flown by Envoy 50m Chicago ORD 21:23 → DFW 23:48AA 2281 5h 35m 61% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON