tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 748 Southwest HOU 09:44 ABQ 11:00 6% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 893 Southwest HOU 20:44 ABQ 21:58 15% 4% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4 3h 09m Dallas DAL 11:19 → ABQ 12:12WN 1277 6h 12m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 09:30 → DAL 10:35WN 14 2h 39m Dallas DAL 13:14 → ABQ 14:09WN 1158 5h 39m 99% 85%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 16:34 → DAL 17:42WN 42 3h 55m Dallas DAL 21:37 → ABQ 22:42WN 3680 7h 08m 99% 85%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 12:30 → DAL 13:40WN 26 2h 42m Dallas DAL 16:22 → ABQ 17:17WN 3776 5h 47m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → HOU 09:40 → DFW 11:08AA 4036 · flown by Envoy 2h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:08 → ABQ 13:52AA 3777 · flown by Envoy 5h 12m 95% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON