Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 3115 at 15:16, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3115 Southwest	HOU 15:16	COS 16:40	11%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4	3h 31m Dallas	DAL 11:41 → COS 12:36WN 1265	6h 36m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 11:30 → COS 12:32DL 2427	7h 32m	99%	90%
Southwest Details →	HOU 15:30 → DAL 16:40WN 38	2h 39m Dallas	DAL 19:19 → COS 20:15WN 210	5h 45m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:23 → ATL 17:34DL 1195	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → COS 21:07DL 971	7h 44m	97%	85%
American Details →	HOU 09:40 → DFW 11:08AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	2h 27m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:35 → COS 14:40AA 1170	6h 00m	100%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON