Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 1670 Southwest	HOU 12:14	FLL 15:41	15%	3%	0.7%	no record
WN 4230 Southwest	HOU 18:16	FLL 21:43	17%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	5h 23m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	3h 59m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670	8h 03m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:23 → ATL 17:34DL 1195	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489	6h 33m	96%	80%
Southwest Details →	HOU 11:00 → DAL 12:10WN 20	3h 44m Dallas	DAL 15:54 → FLL 19:37WN 4538	7h 37m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	6h 22m	96%	79%
American Details →	HOU 09:40 → DFW 11:08AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	1h 38m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:46 → FLL 16:54AA 1373	6h 14m	93%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON