Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 1942 Southwest	HOU 09:38	LAX 11:06	9%	2%	0.6%	no record
WN 1943 Southwest	HOU 14:46	LAX 16:12	10%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 12:40 → LAX 14:12DL 895	10h 12m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 15:39 → LAX 17:22DL 301	8h 42m	98%	85%
Southwest Details →	HOU 10:07 → DAL 11:15WN 18	3h 26m Dallas	DAL 14:41 → LAX 16:02WN 609	7h 55m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → LAX 00:30 +1DL 575	9h 13m	96%	82%
American Details →	HOU 09:40 → DFW 11:08AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	2h 04m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:12 → LAX 14:30AA 1275	6h 50m	95%	80%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:23 → ATL 17:34DL 1195	1h 46m Atlanta	ATL 19:20 → LAX 20:45DL 763	8h 22m	93%	77%
Southwest Details →	HOU 15:30 → DAL 16:40WN 38	2h 13m Dallas	DAL 18:53 → LAX 20:06WN 2928	6h 36m	98%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON