tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2666 Southwest HOU 09:51 MCI 11:54 5% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 2685 Southwest HOU 20:43 MCI 22:47 10% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → HOU 06:00 → DAL 07:05WN 1636 1h 59m Dallas DAL 09:04 → MCI 10:39WN 4272 4h 39m 99% 92%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4 3h 01m Dallas DAL 11:11 → MCI 12:53WN 768 5h 53m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557 2h 00m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → MCI 12:13DL 2747 6h 13m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 09:30 → DAL 10:35WN 14 2h 22m Dallas DAL 12:57 → MCI 14:32WN 1328 5h 02m 99% 86%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 11:00 → DAL 12:10WN 20 3h 54m Dallas DAL 16:04 → MCI 17:39WN 4444 6h 39m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → HOU 14:23 → ATL 17:34DL 1195 2h 34m Atlanta ATL 20:08 → MCI 21:24DL 3023 7h 01m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → MCI 23:58DL 2911 6h 41m 96% 81%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 15:30 → DAL 16:40WN 38 3h 36m Dallas DAL 20:16 → MCI 21:52WN 868 6h 22m 99% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON