Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 3570 at 09:22, with a 3% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3570 Southwest	HOU 09:22	OMA 11:41	3%	1%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	6h 45m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	7h 08m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 22:28 → OMA 23:49DL 2010	6h 32m	96%	86%
Southwest Details →	HOU 15:30 → DAL 16:40WN 38	2h 06m Dallas	DAL 18:46 → OMA 20:32WN 1077	5h 02m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:23 → ATL 17:34DL 1195	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707	6h 31m	95%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON