Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2029 at 14:40, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2029 Southwest	HOU 14:40	TUL 16:13	9%	4%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4	2h 19m Dallas	DAL 10:29 → TUL 11:37WN 4939	4h 37m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	1h 55m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → TUL 11:56DL 2620	5h 56m	99%	92%
Southwest Details →	HOU 17:38 → DAL 19:02WN 46	2h 55m Dallas	DAL 21:57 → TUL 23:12WN 1553	5h 34m	99%	88%
Southwest Details →	HOU 12:30 → DAL 13:40WN 26	3h 09m Dallas	DAL 16:49 → TUL 18:04WN 9002	5h 34m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	1h 46m Atlanta	ATL 22:18 → TUL 23:19DL 2043	6h 02m	96%	84%
American Details →	HOU 09:40 → DFW 11:08AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	3h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:19 → TUL 15:38AA 2851	5h 58m	100%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON