Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 813 at 09:50, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 813 JetBlue Flight history →	HPN 09:50	FLL 12:57	10%	4%	0.9%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HPN 05:54 → ATL 08:15DL 2379	2h 10m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 29m	97%	87%
American Details →	HPN 07:55 → CLT 09:57AA 5403 · flown by PSA	58m Charlotte	CLT 10:55 → FLL 13:09AA 2585	5h 14m	92%	82%
Delta Details →	HPN 12:49 → ATL 15:11DL 2973	2h 34m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670	6h 54m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	HPN 10:25 → ATL 12:42DL 4930 · flown by Endeavor	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 15:25 → FLL 17:23DL 2345	6h 58m	99%	77%
American Details →	HPN 12:26 → ORD 13:51AA 3812 · flown by Envoy	3h 11m Chicago	ORD 17:02 → FLL 21:22AA 2881	8h 56m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	HPN 17:15 → DTW 18:58DL 4643 · flown by Endeavor	1h 46m Detroit	DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296	6h 27m	90%	75%
Delta Details →	HPN 12:34 → DTW 14:17DL 4645 · flown by Endeavor	1h 39m Detroit	DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037	6h 26m	96%	74%
American Details →	HPN 10:59 → CLT 12:56AA 5431 · flown by PSA	2h 37m Charlotte	CLT 15:33 → FLL 17:45AA 2397	6h 46m	98%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON