tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 6240 United flown by Mesa no forecast: 12-month record IAD 12:35 CVG 14:13 15% 0% 0.0% 85%
UA 4521 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record IAD 17:25 CVG 19:08 20% 9% 1.9% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAD 06:00 → ATL 07:43DL 2127 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160 5h 25m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → IAD 08:27 → ATL 10:18DL 3080 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → CVG 15:11DL 3169 6h 44m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → IAD 17:46 → ATL 19:54DL 1695 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395 6h 53m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → IAD 11:35 → MSP 13:35DL 3699 · flown by SkyWest 2h 15m Minneapolis MSP 15:50 → CVG 18:39DL 703 7h 04m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → IAD 10:21 → ATL 12:05DL 1324 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 6h 20m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → IAD 15:02 → ATL 16:53DL 2135 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 20:15 → CVG 21:45DL 2248 6h 43m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → IAD 12:37 → ATL 14:28DL 1444 3h 31m Atlanta ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119 6h 48m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → IAD 08:40 → IAH 10:59UA 1524 1h 31m Houston IAH 12:30 → CVG 15:58UA 2850 7h 18m 96% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON