tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 315 United Flight history → IAH 12:00 PIT 15:56 11% 3% 0.6% 85%
UA 2757 United IAH 18:09 PIT 22:10 19% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:10 → ORD 09:05UA 2616 3h 35m Chicago ORD 12:40 → PIT 15:23UA 3432 · flown by Republic 8h 13m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345 6h 12m 99% 94%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → LGA 11:33DL 1417 1h 37m New York LGA 13:10 → PIT 14:47DL 5715 · flown by Republic 6h 47m 98% 93%
DeltaDetails → IAH 09:41 → ATL 12:48DL 1585 1h 20m Atlanta ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353 5h 09m 97% 91%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 3h 18m Denver DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308 9h 01m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → IAH 14:10 → ORD 17:07AA 3322 3h 33m Chicago ORD 20:40 → PIT 23:22AA 4527 · flown by Republic 8h 12m 96% 89%
AmericanDetails → IAH 06:01 → CLT 09:43AA 2011 2h 41m Charlotte CLT 12:24 → PIT 13:59AA 1736 6h 58m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → IAH 06:02 → DFW 07:28AA 700 3h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:42 → PIT 14:41AA 2664 7h 39m 98% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON