tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3782 SkyWest ICT 07:21 MSP 09:09 6% 3% 0.5% no record
DL 3807 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → ICT 15:48 MSP 17:35 12% 3% 0.5% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ICT 05:43 → ATL 08:54DL 2216 3h 23m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 8h 07m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → ICT 06:08 → DEN 06:53UA 5355 · flown by SkyWest 2h 47m Denver DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397 6h 32m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → ICT 11:11 → ATL 14:26DL 1637 2h 03m Atlanta ATL 16:29 → MSP 18:06DL 2981 6h 55m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → ICT 07:25 → ORD 09:35UA 786 3h 21m Chicago ORD 12:56 → MSP 14:34UA 467 7h 09m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → ICT 18:32 → ATL 22:00DL 2128 1h 00m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310 6h 07m 94% 84%
UnitedDetails → ICT 10:57 → ORD 13:10UA 5810 · flown by SkyWest 3h 07m Chicago ORD 16:17 → MSP 18:10UA 1935 7h 13m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → ICT 13:35 → DEN 14:20UA 5972 · flown by SkyWest 3h 25m Denver DEN 17:45 → MSP 20:51UA 2076 7h 16m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → ICT 11:25 → DFW 12:50AA 4142 · flown by Envoy 1h 43m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:33 → MSP 17:12AA 2406 5h 47m 98% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON