Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 3765 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	IDA 12:59	SLC 14:10	3%	2%	0.5%	92%
DL 2335 Delta Flight history →	IDA 06:00	SLC 07:04	3%	2%	0.6%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	IDA 16:14 → DEN 18:05UA 5666 · flown by SkyWest	3h 00m Denver	DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest	6h 30m	98%	90%
United Details →	IDA 07:00 → DEN 08:55UA 4706 · flown by SkyWest	2h 45m Denver	DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963	6h 13m	99%	87%
United Details →	IDA 10:35 → DEN 12:28UA 5793 · flown by SkyWest	1h 12m Denver	DEN 13:40 → SLC 15:13UA 1840	4h 38m	95%	82%
American Details →	IDA 06:37 → DFW 10:25AA 6466 · flown by SkyWest	1h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:26 → SLC 13:19AA 1871	6h 42m	94%	78%
Alaska Details →	IDA 13:54 → SEA 14:49AS 3027 · flown by SkyWest	3h 37m Seattle	SEA 18:26 → SLC 21:19AS 669	7h 25m	100%	77%
United Details →	IDA 14:30 → DEN 16:18UA 2155	3h 05m Denver	DEN 19:23 → SLC 20:56UA 2769	6h 26m	95%	75%
Alaska Details →	IDA 06:12 → SEA 07:07AS 3423 · flown by SkyWest	2h 01m Seattle	SEA 09:08 → SLC 12:01AS 661	5h 49m	100%	73%
American Details →	IDA 12:26 → DFW 16:21AA 6468 · flown by SkyWest	1h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:31 → SLC 19:28AA 558	7h 02m	92%	69%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON