tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2049 Southwest IND 06:59 BNA 07:08 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3270 Southwest IND 17:40 BNA 17:50 9% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Indianapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IND 05:55 → ATL 07:30DL 3105 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 6h 35m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → IND 06:55 → ATL 08:36DL 3106 1h 21m Atlanta ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155 4h 14m 98% 92%
UnitedDetails → IND 05:35 → IAD 07:19UA 6210 · flown by Mesa 1h 11m Dulles IAD 08:30 → BNA 09:29UA 1366 4h 54m 98% 92%
UnitedDetails → IND 06:00 → ORD 06:20UA 3479 · flown by Republic 2h 33m Chicago ORD 08:53 → BNA 10:38UA 1674 5h 38m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → IND 07:25 → ORD 07:39AA 4557 · flown by Republic 3h 46m Chicago ORD 11:25 → BNA 13:07AA 2362 6h 42m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → IND 10:07 → ATL 11:43DL 3125 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 4h 56m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → IND 06:59 → ORD 07:20UA 3483 · flown by Republic 3h 17m Chicago ORD 10:37 → BNA 12:29UA 2414 6h 30m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → IND 16:30 → MSP 17:20DL 2910 3h 00m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → BNA 22:26DL 1144 6h 56m 100% 91%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON