tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 07:55, is the safest bet: 93% chance of reaching Burbank on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IND 07:55 → SLC 09:26DL 2137 1h 19m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 6h 59m 99% 93%
UnitedDetails → IND 08:00 → DEN 08:51UA 1607 2h 24m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 7h 48m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → IND 06:55 → ATL 08:36DL 3106 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 11:19 → BUR 12:55DL 483 9h 00m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → IND 06:01 → DFW 07:35AA 2782 2h 51m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:26 → BUR 11:53AA 1208 8h 52m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → IND 15:31 → DEN 16:19UA 377 2h 54m Denver DEN 19:13 → BUR 20:43UA 2411 8h 12m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → IND 05:55 → SFO 07:36UA 500 57m San Francisco SFO 08:33 → BUR 09:57UA 2363 7h 02m 93% 82%
AmericanDetails → IND 17:14 → DFW 18:39AA 2456 2h 07m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:46 → BUR 21:58AA 2597 7h 44m 95% 74%
AlaskaDetails → IND 07:04 → SEA 08:52AS 625 1h 19m Seattle SEA 10:11 → BUR 12:38AS 478 8h 34m 94% 61%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON