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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via LaGuardia, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IND 06:05 → LGA 08:15DL 5737 · flown by Republic 2h 40m New York LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181 7h 49m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → IND 05:55 → ATL 07:30DL 3105 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 28m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → IND 05:35 → IAD 07:19UA 3997 · flown by Mesa 1h 02m Dulles IAD 08:21 → FLL 11:12UA 1825 5h 37m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → IND 06:55 → ATL 08:36DL 3106 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 6h 25m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → IND 06:42 → CLT 08:25AA 2938 2h 30m Charlotte CLT 10:55 → FLL 13:09AA 2585 6h 27m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → IND 08:05 → ATL 09:41DL 1901 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 22m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → IND 07:00 → MSP 07:49DL 2757 1h 01m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 6h 25m 96% 88%
UnitedDetails → IND 07:05 → EWR 09:11UA 3567 · flown by Republic 2h 47m Newark EWR 11:58 → FLL 15:14UA 2759 8h 09m 100% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON