Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, AA 2308 at 06:00, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 2308 American Flight history →	IND 06:00	MIA 08:50	5%	2%	0.8%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	IND 05:55 → ATL 07:30DL 3105	1h 25m Atlanta	ATL 08:55 → MIA 10:57DL 1510	5h 02m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	IND 06:55 → ATL 08:36DL 3106	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → MIA 13:02DL 1332	6h 07m	99%	90%
United Details →	IND 06:00 → ORD 06:20UA 3479 · flown by Republic	1h 28m Chicago	ORD 07:48 → MIA 12:05UA 1358	6h 05m	99%	90%
American Details →	IND 06:00 → DCA 07:50AA 4626 · flown by Republic	1h 41m Washington	DCA 09:31 → MIA 12:15AA 401	6h 15m	99%	89%
American Details →	IND 06:02 → CLT 07:49AA 2938	3h 13m Charlotte	CLT 11:02 → MIA 13:11AA 969	7h 09m	99%	88%
American Details →	IND 05:42 → PHL 07:52AA 4613 · flown by Republic	1h 57m Philadelphia	PHL 09:49 → MIA 12:52AA 1985	7h 10m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	IND 06:06 → LGA 08:16DL 5737 · flown by Republic	2h 59m New York	LGA 11:15 → MIA 14:24DL 1538	8h 18m	100%	87%
American Details →	IND 06:20 → LGA 08:30AA 4797 · flown by Republic	2h 32m New York	LGA 11:02 → MIA 14:00AA 2378	7h 40m	100%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON